Operational shipping intelligence

Shipping Watch

Track vessel ETA drift, corridor timing pressure, and escalation state across the Australia-relevant shipping set.

Updated 2026-04-19 11:15 UTC

Drift overview

ETA drift pressure rising

Meaningful worsening ETA drift is present across 1 vessel(s), with top corridor band at watch.

Next expected improvement: Watch for continued slippage, additional corridor clustering, or stabilisation on the next snapshot.

pressure-rising
Tracked vessels
22
Matched vessels
22
Comparable vessels
19
Stable vessels
18
Worsening vessels
1
Meaningful worsening
1
Top corridor band
watch
Top escalation state
developing

Escalation lifecycle

Vessels baseline forming
2
Vessels emerging
0
Vessels developing
1
Vessels escalating
0
Vessels stabilising
0
Corridors baseline forming
1
Corridors emerging
1
Corridors developing
0
Corridors escalating
0

Top corridors

Corridor-level drift clustering and lifecycle pressure.

Destination Band Lifecycle Worsening Meaningful Severe Baseline gaps Max drift Note
Kwinana watch emerging 1 1 0 1 6.0h A vessel into this destination is showing early ETA drift pressure.
Withnell Bay clear baseline-forming 0 0 0 1 0.8h No meaningful corridor ETA drift pressure detected.
Newcastle clear stable 0 0 0 0 0.6h No meaningful corridor ETA drift pressure detected.
Adelaide clear stable 0 0 0 0 0.3h No meaningful corridor ETA drift pressure detected.
Xinhui Cn clear stable 0 0 0 0 0.3h No meaningful corridor ETA drift pressure detected.

Tracked vessels

Per-vessel ETA model, drift band, and lifecycle evidence.

Vessel Destination ETA model Timing source Status Lifecycle Band Direction Drift hours Short text
HOUYOSHI EXPRESS II Kwinana 2026-04-23 18:58 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.2h ETA remained broadly stable (0.2h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
HOUYOSHI EXPRESS II Kwinana 2026-04-23 18:58 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.3h ETA remained broadly stable (0.3h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
HOUYOSHI EXPRESS II Kwinana 2026-04-23 18:58 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.3h ETA remained broadly stable (0.3h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
HOUYOSHI EXPRESS II Kwinana — none Awaiting comparison stable low unknown 0.0h ETA comparison is not yet available.
NEW FIRST Newcastle 2026-05-30 08:48 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.2h ETA remained broadly stable (0.2h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
NEW FIRST Newcastle 2026-05-08 14:31 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.2h ETA remained broadly stable (0.2h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
ROBERT OLDENDORFF Newcastle 2026-05-06 07:20 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.6h ETA remained broadly stable (0.6h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
STI SOLIDARITY Withnell Bay 2026-04-26 23:22 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.8h ETA remained broadly stable (0.8h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
DA TAI SHAN Kwinana 2026-04-29 15:51 UTC distance-speed-model Worsening developing moderate worsening 6.0h ETA slipped later by 6h versus 2026-04-19.json.
NEW FIRST Newcastle 2026-05-08 14:31 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.3h ETA remained broadly stable (0.3h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
ROBERT OLDENDORFF Newcastle 2026-05-06 07:20 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.6h ETA remained broadly stable (0.6h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
NEW FIRST Newcastle 2026-05-30 08:48 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.2h ETA remained broadly stable (0.2h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
DA TAI SHAN Kwinana — none Baseline forming baseline-forming low unknown 0.0h Matched prior vessel found, but historical ETA baseline is not yet comparable.
STI SOLIDARITY Withnell Bay — none Baseline forming baseline-forming low unknown 0.0h Matched prior vessel found, but historical ETA baseline is not yet comparable.
ROBERT OLDENDORFF Adelaide 2026-05-27 11:45 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.2h ETA remained broadly stable (0.2h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
BELFOX Adelaide 2026-04-25 08:33 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.3h ETA remained broadly stable (0.3h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
BELFOX Adelaide 2026-04-25 08:33 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.3h ETA remained broadly stable (0.3h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
ROBERT OLDENDORFF Adelaide 2026-05-27 11:45 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.2h ETA remained broadly stable (0.2h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
STI SOLIDARITY Withnell Bay 2026-04-26 23:22 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.8h ETA remained broadly stable (0.8h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
STI SOLIDARITY Withnell Bay 2026-04-26 23:22 UTC distance-speed-model Stable stable low stable 0.8h ETA remained broadly stable (0.8h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
DA TAI SHAN XINHUI CN 2026-04-21 23:15 UTC detected-at-fallback Stable stable low stable 0.2h ETA remained broadly stable (0.2h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.
DA TAI SHAN XINHUI CN 2026-04-21 23:15 UTC detected-at-fallback Stable stable low stable 0.3h ETA remained broadly stable (0.3h drift) versus 2026-04-19.json.